Consumer Confidence Index Jumps More Than Eight Points In December
By Felicia Prince
DALLAS, Dec 31, 2001/ FW/ --- According to the latest survey by the Conference Board,
the Consumer Confidence Index which had been deteriorating for the past
three months rebounded dramatically in December.
The Index now stands at 93.7 (1985=100), up from
84.9 in November. The Expectations Index rose sharply, from 77.3 to 91.5. The
Present Situation Index increased slightly, from 96.2 to 96.9.
"The deterioration in current economic conditions appears to be reaching a
plateau, led by a stabilizing employment scenario," says Lynn Franco, Director
of The Conference Board's Consumer Research Center. "Consumers' short-term
optimism is no longer at recession levels, and the upward trend signals that
the economy may be close to bottoming out and that a rebound by mid-2002 is
likely."
Consumers' appraisal of current economic conditions was slightly more
positive than last month. Consumers rating conditions as "good" increased from
16.8 percent to 17.0 percent. However, those rating current business
conditions as "bad" rose from 20.7 percent to 21.7 percent. Those reporting
jobs were plentiful edged up from 17.5 percent to 17.6 percent. Those claiming
jobs were "hard to get" declined from 22.7 percent to 21.8 percent.
Consumers are more optimistic about economic prospects six months from
now. Those expecting an improvement in business conditions increased from
17.7 percent to 22.2 percent. Those anticipating conditions to worsen declined
from 16.9 percent to 11.6 percent.
The employment outlook was also more positive. Currently, 16.1 percent of
consumers expect more jobs to become available in the next six months, up from
14.4 percent last month. Those expecting fewer jobs to become available
decreased from 26.3 percent to 19.3 percent. Regarding income expectations,
20.7 percent of consumers anticipate a gain, down from 22.0 percent in
November.
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