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Consumer Confidence Index Jumps More Than Eight Points In December
By Felicia Prince

DALLAS, Dec 31, 2001/ FW/ --- According to the latest survey by the Conference Board, the Consumer Confidence Index which had been deteriorating for the past three months rebounded dramatically in December.

The Index now stands at 93.7 (1985=100), up from 84.9 in November. The Expectations Index rose sharply, from 77.3 to 91.5. The Present Situation Index increased slightly, from 96.2 to 96.9.

"The deterioration in current economic conditions appears to be reaching a plateau, led by a stabilizing employment scenario," says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board's Consumer Research Center. "Consumers' short-term optimism is no longer at recession levels, and the upward trend signals that the economy may be close to bottoming out and that a rebound by mid-2002 is likely."

Consumers' appraisal of current economic conditions was slightly more positive than last month. Consumers rating conditions as "good" increased from 16.8 percent to 17.0 percent. However, those rating current business conditions as "bad" rose from 20.7 percent to 21.7 percent. Those reporting jobs were plentiful edged up from 17.5 percent to 17.6 percent. Those claiming jobs were "hard to get" declined from 22.7 percent to 21.8 percent.

Consumers are more optimistic about economic prospects six months from now. Those expecting an improvement in business conditions increased from 17.7 percent to 22.2 percent. Those anticipating conditions to worsen declined from 16.9 percent to 11.6 percent.

The employment outlook was also more positive. Currently, 16.1 percent of consumers expect more jobs to become available in the next six months, up from 14.4 percent last month. Those expecting fewer jobs to become available decreased from 26.3 percent to 19.3 percent. Regarding income expectations, 20.7 percent of consumers anticipate a gain, down from 22.0 percent in November.


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